Two years ago, students at Swarthmore College began a fossil fuel divestment campaign, initially focused on coal. Last November, 350.org, the grassroots activist NGO dedicated to reducing carbon in the atmosphere to 350 parts per million joined the fight with a nationwide “Do the Math” campus tour. The movement spread to cities, and soon to...
My daughter and I joined an estimated 50,000 demonstrators in Washington, D.C. marching against the XL Pipeline that would connect the Canadian Tar Sands to American refineries. After a half century on this planet, I took to the streets. Here’s why.
The “business as usual” arguments in favor of building the pipeline as articulated by the liberal and...
After apologizing at Davos - but only to his shareholders - according to William Cohan on the Bloomberg View, the JPMorgan Chairman and CEO hastened to add about 2012, “We did have record profits. Life goes on.”
It is true; JPMorgan reported a strong financial performance in 2012, “London Whale” trading fiasco notwithstanding. I must admit that despite my 18...
After visiting an awe-inspiring women’s empowerment program at work in several rural villages north of Delhi, our host at the Ashram, scanning his Blackberry, related the news: a horrific shooting…assault rifle…children slaughtered…in a school…in Connecticut (my son’s school is in the state)…and then after what seemed like an endless pause as I...
We are now a couple of weeks into the aftermath of Super Storm Sandy, and no one has yet improved upon the analysis of Bloomberg Businessweek’s November 1 cover story: “It’s Global Warming, STUPID.”
In 1944, the famous political economist Karl Polanyi explained the root...
No scientist will tell you with certainty whether doping was the reason Lance Armstrong won any particular leg of his seven Tour de France titles. You know where I’m headed with this reasoning.
Bloomberg Businessweek put it rather succinctly on this week’s cover: “It’s Global Warming, STUPID.”
For the first time since 1984, not one challenge...
With the third and final debate scheduled for this evening, we undoubtedly will witness the first presidential debate in the United States of America since 1984 in which Climate Change is not part of the national debate, according to Brad Johnson in his post...
In her New York Times Magazine cover story on the fall of the well-regarded Ina Drew titled “Swallowed by the London Whale,” Susan Dominus ends the article quoting Drew’s former colleague who recently lamented with Drew: “You know, Ina, sometimes I think I’d give my right arm to return to those (good ol’) days at Chemical (Bank), you know?...
“Have things become so critical – both in terms of the scale of the challenges we face but also the possibility of change – that this radical step [of spending down our assets over the next ten to fifteen years] is a good move?”
This is the question recently put to the advisor of a foundation deeply concerned about the environment, which he in turn shared...
It’s officially election season, and (surprise) we’re off to a terrific start. There are plenty of very real short and medium term issues for the candidates to mold their ideologies around. Most notably, like much of the so-called “developed world,” the US has a jobs crisis, both in quantity and quality, that challenges modern capitalism for answers it does not have...
The futile debate between market fundamentalists and those who claim you can’t stop “progress” on the one hand, and proponents of tighter government regulation and oversight on the other continues on with no resolution in sight. From too-big-to-fail banks, a second front is now opening, this one focused on the structure and regulation of equity trading in the United States...
The ramifications of the Libor scandal—what Warren Buffett glibly called a can of worms that affects the whole world—grow by the day. Criminal indictments of individuals, even if firms are too big to indict, appear to be in the making as the tsunami’s shock waves are about to spread to many of the usual suspects. One can...
Like Lloyd Blankfein with the Abacus fiasco, and Jamie Dimon with “the whale trade,” Barclays CEO Bob Diamond has an unparalleled opportunity to surprise us this week during his appearance before Parliament to explain the most recent financial scandal involving the systematic manipulation of LIBOR, the benchmark interbank lending rate upon which hundreds of trillions of dollars...
JPMorgan CEO Jamie Dimon will today, once again, stand before the authors of Dodd-Frank and attempt to make the case for why a $2 billion trading loss was a stupid mistake, not a willful breach of at least the intent of the law. Our representatives who wrote the law should hold him to the standards set by JPMorgan’s own Code of Conduct: following the spirit and intent, not just the...
Much needs to change in the Anthropocene, including our willingness to have constraints placed on our precious right to individual freedom. This is particularly challenging for Americans whose country was founded on an Enlightenment-inspired understanding of freedom, uninformed by the advances of modern...
I spent two days last week in Grand Rapids, Michigan at the "Real Prosperity Starts Here" conference organized by the Business Alliance for Local Living Economies (BALLE). Even though I was only able to attend for a short time, I left re-energized and excited by all I saw and engaged in. The annual BALLE conference, which has for 10 years been among the leading places...
Much has been written about the trading—not hedging—debacle at JPMorgan. Jamie Dimon’s mea culpa is intended to head off deeper questions. No cover-up on his watch—get out in front, be direct, deal with it, move on. Right? Not so fast.
“At base, having a small elite with vast wealth is good for the poor and the middle class.”
This is how Adam Davidson’s piece in the New York Times Magazine summarized the frustrated former Bain...
Last week I participated in the inaugural Public Banking Institute conference in Philadelphia - not a coincidence, freedom from tyranny of the banks underscored the program. When I first learned of this idea of state-owned banks as a solution to our economic challenges, I was a real skeptic. Just what we need, our government...
A hypothetical letter from the future to today’s global citizens. Written by John Fullerton for the House of Futures In100Y Project and released today on their site.
A hopeful vision for the future inspired the founding of the Capital...
Reactions to departing Goldman derivatives salesman Greg Smith’s “Why I am Leaving Goldman Sachs,” which appeared as an op-ed in the New York Times last week, have ranged from the hyperbolic — Robert Reich’s “...
The concern I raised last June that we should enforce the Bank Holding Company Act and not allow the too often irresponsible, gigantic, TBTF and taxpayer-subsidized banks to engage in proprietary physical commodities trading has now been raised in a...
Co-authored by Peter Malik, Director of Center for Market Innovation at the NRDC
Generation Investment Management’s recently released white paper calls for a “paradigm shift” to Sustainable Capitalism. It is an admirable and important contribution to the discussion...
In his February 10th essay, New York Times columnist Joe Nocera asked a simple question: “Can a person support the Keystone XL oil pipeline and still believe that global warming poses a serious threat?”
Joe answers “yes,” with...
I was honored to join Majora Carter, Eban Goodstein, and Elysa Hammond at the launch of Bard College's new MBA in Sustainability last week to discuss how finance has been a major factor driving our ecological and social crises and how fixing finance must be a part of the solution. The ideas I presented - an all hands on deck, bottom-up and top-down/systemic approach to sustainable...
I spoke last Thursday at the Congressional Progressive Caucus Policy Summit in Baltimore on how our work at Capital Institute might have relevance to the 2012 Congress’s financial reform agenda. These are the hopes I shared for how policy could shape the Future of Finance:
This former banker, and now sustainability investor and humble blogger, will not offer grand predictions for 2012. Forecasting in a world of rising uncertainty suggests a lack of understanding about uncertainty. Instead, inspired by my holiday reading, Debt: The First 5000 Years, by anthropologist...
This is what the fight over Stranding Assets will look like.
All eyes are trained on Europe these days. While I look on, I can't help but yearn for the day when financial markets and financial institutions are a little less interconnected, and a lot more resilient. Whether such a system lies in the future, or only in the past, is open to question. It's clear that the factious nature of the nation state, the shape of the...
"If your banker breaks, you snap." - Herman Melville, Moby Dick
During the summer between the day I resigned from JPMorgan after eighteen years, and the horror of witnessing 9-11 up close and personal, I joined a couple of friends on their fifty foot sailboat in an attempt to sail across the Atlantic Ocean. What better time to...
Last week, I had the privilege of meeting Colonel Mark (“Puck”) Mykleby, recently retired from the US Marine Corps. Puck was a “Top Gun” pilot, and finished his military career working in the Office of the Chairman, Joint Chiefs of Staff, as a senior advisor on strategy reporting to Admiral Mike Mullen, Chairman of the Joint Chiefs.
...What does the collapse of MF Global, the Euro crisis, the sub-prime mortgage crisis, the collapse of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, and the 1998 collapse of Long Term Capital Management all have in common?
Certainly these crises all shared the following characteristics: too much leverage, lack of transparency, inadequate regulatory oversight, agency problems of misaligned incentives,...
Last Friday, I participated in a Special Briefing on Capitol Hill in support of the Financial Transactions Tax (FTT). I came as a seasoned practitioner speaking on behalf of the real economy, not for the interests of the Wall Street trading community. What I tried to convey was that what the US and World needs is enhanced capital market function, and that an FTT can help bring it...
I’m a former banker, a one percenter, and I’m mad as hell too.
Let’s be clear. This movement is not frustration being expressed, as President Obama, Treasury Secretary Geithner, and now Eric Cantor have suggested. Frustration is passive; anger is active. Martin Luther King was not frustrated. But beyond my anger is real...
Bloomberg View has joined its Wall Street customers in coming out against the Financial Transactions Tax proposed by Germany and France, and recommended by the European Union, declaring it politically unfeasible while undermining economic growth.
Presuming for a moment that the politically unfeasible can become reality when good ideas are pursued in a real democracy, it...
Banking used to be a profession, not just a business. That profession is vital to the real economy, and essential at a time of profound economic system transition. It’s about time we rebuild the banking profession, with public-private hybrid models as necessary to promote critical public purpose such as rebuilding our energy infrastructure for the post-carbon era. ...
Jobs. Depending on how you count, the challenge is 7 to 10 million net new jobs in the United States over the next 5 years or so from a current base of about 130 million. A five to seven percent increase, the sooner the better. Here’s how.
First, we need to break the challenge down into two pieces: emergency triage, and long-term...
Forty eight years ago this Sunday, the Rev. Dr. Martin Luther King Jr. began his famous “I have a Dream” speech on the steps of the Lincoln Memorial by proclaiming it, “the greatest demonstration for freedom in the history of our nation.” And it was.
While the struggle for freedom has made progress since that historic...
Speculators may do no harm as bubbles on a steady stream of enterprise. But the situation is serious when enterprise becomes the bubble on a whirlpool of speculation.
- John Maynard Keynes, Speculator and Economist
You know you’ve hit a hot button when publicly traded...
I recall when JPMorgan lost its AAA rating. Those of us working there a long time felt the gloom of losing our specialness. The rating agencies were right -- the truth hurt. Egos were stung. And they were late, as they almost always are.
No different with the downgrade of US Sovereign debt. Any rational, objective observer must conclude “too...
- A $20 trillion “externality” appears to present civilization with its BIG CHOICE: economic destruction or ecological destruction, both with chilling global security implications. Here’s why, along with a practical and more hopeful alternative to “Sophie’s Choice.”
Carbon Tracker has released an illuminating report,...
The debt limit negotiations are 99% political and 1% economic, so I have little directly to say about them. But I do have some related thoughts to share as we stumble toward the deadline, with much wasted tax payer money paying for amateur hour in Washington while real challenges are left to smolder and in some cases burn.
I was surprised to learn that Americans for Tax Reform...
Somehow I missed the release of a new collection of essays by Wendell Berry in 2010, What Matters: Economics for a Renewed Commonwealth. The introduction is by Herman Daly, whose clarification of how scale limits transform economics remains the most important idea still not acknowledged in mainstream economics today.
When two of my heroes collaborate on a book...
Last week, Capital Institute and Benjamin Barber’s Interdependence Movement co-convened a conversation at NYU’s Kimmel Center titled, “Ecological and Economic Interdependence: A Conversation with Bill McKibben and Graciela Chichilnisky.” The video link will be available on our site soon.
As I sit here on Father’s Day thinking back on the...
Foreign Policy’s recent “How Goldman Sachs Created the Food Crisis” reflects the dangerous, myopic thinking all too prone to “blame Wall Street” that is a natural consequence of Wall Street’s appalling, anti-social behavior in recent...
"The Economist" ran this cover story last week. It’s the most important news item in 10,000 years.
Of course it’s not really “news.” In 2000, atmospheric chemists Paul Crutzen and Eugene Stoermer first suggested the term, meaning “the recent age of man,” the...
So declared JPMorgan CEO Jamie Dimon regarding the prospect of a US default on its debt, after which he received a standing ovation at the University of Colorado’s Denver School of Business. Hmm…Let’s do a little press review - the following items quoted from recent news articles:
- JPMorgan Chase recently lost a class-action lawsuit...
Matt Taibbi’s “The People vs. Goldman Sachs” which appeared in Rolling Stone this week is a good and damning piece. In his latest attack on Goldman ("the Vampire Squid"), Taibbi likens the scathing 650 page bipartisan Levin-Coburn report on...
"The fact is that no compound growth is sustainable. If we maintain our desperate focus on growth, we will run out of everything and crash. We must substitute qualitative growth for quantitative growth." - Jeremy Grantham, GMO Quarterly Letter
I’m not following the trial of hedge fund manager Raj (“King”) Rajaratnam very closely, and I have no unique insight into the case other than what I read in the press. To me, the wiretap evidence incriminating “the king” appears overwhelming. The defense’s strategy suggesting it was all “public information” is insulting to common...
I returned late last night from the second Institute for New Economic Thinking (INET) Conference which took place at Bretton Woods. This was the site of the historic Bretton Woods Agreement signed in 1944, establishing the IMF and the World Bank, and creating the global world financial order...
People often ask me to recommend "just three books" in order to study the ideas behind my current thinking. While this is an impossible task, when forced I usually answer Small is Beautiful, by E.F. Schumacher, For the Common Good, by Herman Daly and John Cobb, and The Great Work, by Thomas Berry, listed in the order that I read their work....
The NY Times report by David Kocieniewski on GE’s aggressive tax strategies under the leadership of John Samuels, a former Treasury Department tax lawyer, which enabled the company to pay no income taxes to Uncle Sam on their $5.1 billion of US-based income has many...
Adair Turner, Chairman of the FSA (the SEC of the United Kingdom) is smart, articulate, and more aware than any senior regulator or finance official currently in power on this side of the Atlantic in my judgment. His 2011 Clare Distinguished Lecture in Economics and Public...
I attended the annual US Department of Agriculture conference this week in Washington DC. My job was to participate on a panel with The Savory Institute, organized by the Risk Management Agency of the USDA. Our topic was “Critical Thinking: The Best Risk Management Tool.”
My message was about systems thinking, and how the financial system collapse...
I am no Middle East expert, and clearly there are a multitude of factors beyond a humiliated fruit cart vendor in Tunisia that have triggered the revolutions playing out on our nightly news. Certainly decades of repression and unfathomable corruption (Mubarak is thought to have in excess of $40 billion invested securely outside Egypt) are primary drivers. But I would like to...
“We conclude first and foremost that the crisis was avoidable,” declared Phil Angelides, chairman of the Financial Crisis Inquiry Commission. No act of God. Thanks Mr. Chairman.
The report is weak and inconclusive, with no clear root causes. The FCIC is no Pecora Commission, the exhaustive, two year inquisition into the causes of the 1929 crash in which...
I sure got that one wrong.
At the end of my 2009 year end letter to Lloyd Blankfein, Chairman and CEO of Goldman Sachs, the third in an exchange that took place during the depths of the financial crisis, I predicted that Goldman clients would begin to defect, either of their own volition, or because their own...
I have discussed the problem of reductionist thinking, grounded in the Enlightenment, in the past. Nowhere is reductionist thinking more in force than in finance. Derivatives disaggregate risk into component parts, and then atomized parts are reconstructed into new wholes using securitization. This process goes on, with greater and greater leverage applied until it...
Andrew Carnegie’s essay titled “Gospel of...
The mystery of derivatives, the secretive multi-trillion dollar market that few understand but is believed to be at the heart of the financial meltdown needs illumination. Without it, policy makers have no chance of getting much needed regulation right. The recent NY Times piece, “A Secretive Banking Elite...
I was privileged to co-sign this Open Letter to President Obama as the UN Climate Change Conference opened in Cancun last week. It calls for the US to live up to its prior commitment to support climate change funding for mitigation and...
After my Thanksgiving turkey, I digested two recent commentaries on the financial industry, “Inside Job,” the mostly fair but incomplete documentary narrated by Matt Damon, and the balanced and accurate New Yorker essay, “What Good is Wall...
“There Will be Fuel”, by Clifford Krauss, was the feature article in a special Energy section of the NY Times on November 16th. Not only was it amateur and unbalanced, it was irresponsible. The thesis was “peak oil is a joke, we’re now swimming in oil”. Nothing could be...
Obama had a bad week at the G20. He was rebuked by Western leaders on the weak dollar consequences of QE2, and he failed to secure a Trade Agreement with South Korea.
There is something not terribly compelling about a trip to India, Indonesia, Japan, and South Korea, and pitching these countries on expanding exports from the US to create US jobs. After the pummeling he...
I am grateful to the Triple Crisis Blog for making me aware of the passing this month of the great mathematician, Benoit Mandelbrot, who coined the term "fractal".
Mandelbrot defined a fractal as "a rough or fragmented geometric shape that can be split into parts, each of which is (at least approximately) a reduced-size...
I recently gave the keynote at the annual meeting of Oregon Rural Action in La Grande, Oregon, “Making the Shift: Building a Vibrant Local Economy Amidst the Broken Global Financial System.” (My slide deck is posted on our resource section here.) To...
I had the pleasure of attending B Lab’s National Leadership Gathering last week in Long Branch, New Jersey. B Lab is a non-profit organization dedicated to using the power of business to solve social and environmental problems. “B Corporations” explicitly seek to balance the needs of all stakeholders, and this requirement is...
The global economy now uses 1.5 times the earth’s capacity to regenerate the natural capital we use every year, up from the 1.4 times of the prior year, according to a report of the well-respected Global Footprint Network. In their Living...
There are several "Great Transitions" circulating, visions for a transition to a just and sustainable economy and society. Tellus Institute convened the Global Scenario Group, to produce the Great Transition Initiative in 2002, a comprehensive set of alternative futures. More recently, the New Economics Foundation...
I recently attended a school function and was chatting with a friend (“Pam” for the sake of this post) who is a buy-side analyst at a major asset management firm, the kind that manages hundreds of billions of pension fund assets, and 401Ks. Pam’s firm, like many mainstream asset management companies, is a signatory of the Principles for Responsible Investment (PRI). ...
Last week, Capital Institute co-convened with futurist Hazel Henderson at Ethical Markets Media (USA and Brazil), her company's facility in Florida, the new Committee on Transforming Finance (CTF). The CTF is a group of seasoned capital markets practitioners, scholars, and financial writers who share a belief that the policy responses to the financial crisis were more...
We immerse ourselves in facts and figures; turning real life suffering into an abstraction. The official unemployment rate is 9.6 percent in the United States. Estimates vary about the additional unemployed who have given up looking for a job. Some say the real number could exceed 15 percent. The unemployment for black youths in America aged 16 to 19 is 44 percent. ...
The more I discover about the modern financial system, the less I recognize it, and the more incredulous I grow. And I worked at the center of the financial system until 2001.
My comment is prompted by the latest news that several leading hedge fund managers and private equity moguls are lashing out at the Obama Administration and funneling money, lots of it, to the GOP...
An ethic, ecologically, is a limitation on freedom of action in the struggle for existence. An ethic, philosophically, is a differentiation of social from antisocial conduct. These are two definitions of one thing. The thing has its origin in the tendency of interdependent individuals or groups to evolve modes of cooperation.
The...
Stress-test complacency will be a cause of the next financial meltdown.
Economic commentators have been increasingly using the word "uncertainty" of late. The context has included the business climate, the stimulate vs austerity debate, and forecasting the investment outlook across capital markets. Two examples:
"When...
Capital Forum's current series on "Reducing the Wealth Gap" ties in nicely with Edward Luce’s July 30 piece in the Financial Times, “The Crisis of Middle Class America,” a sobering reality check, putting real people behind the statistics. ...
I can’t believe they just quit. No fight, no public debate from the government of the country that represents 5 percent of the global population yet emits 20 percent of the carbon, more than twice the per capita average of even our European counterparts of the developed world? No prime-time TV address by the President? No more talk of a...
Last week was a busy week in the world of financial reform. Congress passed “the most sweeping financial reform legislation since the Great Depression" (at least measured by its 2,300 pages). Treasury appears to be blocking the selection of Elizabeth Warren to head the new consumer financial protection agency, despite its denials. And the SEC...
The first and overarching theme of the G-20 Toronto Summit is "laying the foundation for sustainable and
...
We are delighted to congratulate Capital Institute Advisory Board member Allan Savory and his
team at the Savory Institute for their well deserved...
"John, I think you are pursuing one of the most important initiatives around these days. Please call on me any time. All the best, Gus"
Well, I decided to take Gus at his word, and today I am pleased and honored to welcome Gus Speth to our Council of Advisors. Gus' impressive career of service to the environment...
On April 15, I made a statement at the Press Club in Washington, DC.,
...
No doubt, we've all been to conferences that are both stimulating and exhausting at the same time.
The George Soros backed Institute for New Economic Thinking (INET) inaugural conference that took...
Welcome to our blog, “The Future of Finance”. Here you will find
expert opinions and analysis on the critical challenges of finance in the context of forging a just and sustainable economic system....
